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SocGen’s Albert Edwards on 10% Yields and a 50% to 60% Drop | #656

55 min
AboutEconomy
Hosted byMeb Faber

Today's guest is Albert Edwards, Global Strategist at Societe Generale.

In today’s episode, Albert lays out why he sees US 10 year yields heading to 10% and the S&P may fall 50% to 60%. He explains how fiscal dominance will push central banks to print, why consumers are paying nearly $150 for oil, and why China’s credit impulse is flashing red. To close, Albert shares what the IPO boom signals about this cycle.

(0:00) Intro

(2:01) Albert's Market Outlook

(9:15) Bond Yields Flip the Script

(17:25) Greedflation and Fed Tightening

(27:37) China, Fiscal Strain, and Liquidity

(33:26) IPOs, Breadth, and the AI Boom

(39:43) Recession Risks and Inflation Hedges

(42:12) Oil, Diesel, and Food Prices

(49:03) Gold and the Debasement Trade

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Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.

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Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

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